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| 000 ABNT20 KNHC 031459 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH AND CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN AND NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH SQUALLS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH $$ | | | | |
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